cshare            0.682899
mshare            0.144225
trans_fromgood    0.961660
trans_frombad     0.205422
grad2             1.178127
grad3             1.223067
grad4             1.277100
Name: US, dtype: float64
cshare            0.003850
mshare            0.003530
trans_fromgood    0.001577
trans_frombad     0.009521
grad2             0.016650
grad3             0.016409
grad4             0.016231
Name: US, dtype: float64
                    mean        sd
cshare          0.682899  0.003850
mshare          0.144225  0.003530
trans_fromgood  0.961660  0.001577
trans_frombad   0.205422  0.009521
grad2           1.178127  0.016650
grad3           1.223067  0.016409
grad4           1.277100  0.016231
current parameter status : 
sigma 2.1053 True
beta 0.97 False
phi 0.3974 True
psi 0.1616 True
delta_h1 -0.989 True
delta_h2 3.5117 True
eta 0.0 False
tfp 1 False
price 1 False
risk 0.0 False
-- 
number of parameters:  10
number of free parameters:  5
current parameter status : 
sigma 2.1053 True
beta 0.97 False
phi 0.3974 True
psi 0.1616 True
delta_h1 -0.989 True
delta_h2 3.5117 True
eta 0.0 False
tfp 1 False
price 1 False
risk 0.0 False
- using these moments:
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.0038498188619336283
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.0035304301568975733
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.0015768678590229242
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.009520886903446983
grad2 1.1781272865329295 0.016649704287059433
grad3 1.2230665691714895 0.016409088465787112
grad4 1.2770998962196927 0.016230789791335097
f =  174.64795049014083 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6870309380455515
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1466107938363875
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701532238801632
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.29498436753543505
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.098913320398084
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1644716283990555
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.204245152945188
f =  142.0900478782466 , pars =  [ 2.20531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6803577248557877
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14630327091571071
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701549920400265
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28644047284466123
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1073629894316117
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1756273976858183
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.217580770988044
f =  412.52357922725037 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.497405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6851747106135654
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14469023534786982
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701563721126175
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.36648404324419387
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0937649552985644
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1439057950514733
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1646502635909426
f =  1165.8598368160556 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.26157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6398763302283964
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.0923722364706324
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701774955749256
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.44365438907911026
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0763648533271974
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1130636185409855
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.125125028826653
f =  267.4112071801596 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.88895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6792373591344503
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13634876710696447
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.970153165107577
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3286882267876763
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1017753553025045
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.161133457039617
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1887681960921541
f =  292.78572735413593 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.61165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6726084972149564
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1299673643203868
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9729932822450978
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3153198727901629
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.092520869725508
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1492203306439193
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1773827527347696
f =  227.52545850712596 , pars =  [ 2.00531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6894616344168225
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14228904481806742
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701528814574637
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3182811339327363
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.105573598086141
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1674900505692043
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.197036035508931
f =  69.36826652034121 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.297405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6802916220119637
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13800070274298434
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701529860980269
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.25409012114200513
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.126215063887665
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2143669767759757
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2639427275964612
f =  6006.449198710921 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.06157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.8621867980264745
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.34731852911661704
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701526720233105
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.09172268465344034
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.175841637587472
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.3379736166607823
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.5617903112490197
f =  129.8431093530399 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -1.08895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6861022352053449
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1467681887453913
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701532643620224
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28480939712267717
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.110287830212877
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.188585229949967
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2282072846838883
f =  134.834140044602 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.41165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6962598969943045
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.15756371870035382
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9670160445345656
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2884061446752185
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1184493513067786
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1946028072111863
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.240266691908401
f =  74.64014294361087 , pars =  [ 2.13940278  0.26769115  0.19651434 -1.04323363  3.45009686]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6707865593512279
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13004510012747914
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.968258352366138
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.24953597857376544
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1288180700555506
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2093117045745565
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2707058853212745
f =  146.0366788790758 , pars =  [ 2.09039846  0.30073515  0.19289559 -0.96510531  3.5384201 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6662681822358937
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.12047635694922795
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9709414337617456
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.25032915344059653
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1129404099770561
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1861135399661409
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2414323833360708
f =  54.37511144624291 , pars =  [ 2.11712769  0.29996877  0.16381743 -0.98744256  3.51334705]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6813477031004945
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14162284994842175
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9702036282527785
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23713550265246242
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1226267564618975
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.202580770759857
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.265116665854667
f =  89.45915987122757 , pars =  [ 2.11219551  0.31141434  0.17973114 -0.99727036  3.50239989]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6754819970304506
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13439126598925685
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9698756735113955
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2538266172329419
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1124336742893477
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1862062906774102
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2431356224899215
f =  68.58013346038283 , pars =  [ 2.11645187  0.30696695  0.15671921 -0.9877163   3.51301671]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6825028972797426
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14211968627546306
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701937447737263
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.255900468219279
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1262775905113265
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.214027422805966
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2624777190473049
f =  75.15396418679865 , pars =  [ 2.12514835  0.3019413   0.16297744 -0.99054262  3.50871431]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6777570288695134
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13752368856522307
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9700652523449969
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2578303055684828
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.125952434939513
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2136406379322937
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2616921452710774
f =  46.50166690954091 , pars =  [ 2.11704144  0.29883053  0.16307452 -0.98038656  3.50639307]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6847997196218478
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14478721900766184
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699956909502243
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2296681058369637
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.123801542730295
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2057557271503514
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.273821856948219
f =  49.719647493058126 , pars =  [ 2.11544402  0.29972674  0.16208123 -0.97319431  3.51302103]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6833042925353692
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14382741417556477
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701939006802156
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23077776240624612
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1217071059284243
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.202309300148939
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2693475548623958
f =  71.54311692659067 , pars =  [ 2.11823757  0.28985209  0.16288208 -0.97627263  3.5053953 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6774817212293646
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1364952794322566
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699657415443516
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.25436414155105147
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1261950363238875
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2144413822012845
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2646063139421044
f =  53.28545227390639 , pars =  [ 2.11372592  0.30549256  0.16544416 -0.9802052   3.50014994]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6819592198462636
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1417074239135513
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9698077913945796
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.24140182428578422
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1250507851524267
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2055850991451484
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2663668428277162
f =  47.11219752342116 , pars =  [ 2.11788444  0.29496122  0.16506107 -0.98714447  3.50050223]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6834388974087998
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1438038457219031
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9698184331708578
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23225526213955547
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1230858938729724
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2042944195139385
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2713294235523769
f =  54.78872346346307 , pars =  [ 2.11309706  0.30440292  0.16534897 -0.98063422  3.51333251]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6816425961206886
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14156195932831744
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9702031945202005
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23365540130767842
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1189244467601571
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1968159331021864
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2629431547385137
f =  51.612785621330346 , pars =  [ 2.11577393  0.30357758  0.16935063 -0.98634509  3.50541054]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6811392046412528
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1406621959305055
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699662269550957
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23542356754959126
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1234273004459445
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2025367570285157
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2675397795691643
f =  64.99753217431186 , pars =  [ 2.11649379  0.3006249   0.16173723 -0.98706512  3.49931572]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6789895217574325
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1388982775511374
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9697825817399143
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2525095084585042
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.125751016227646
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2137670882575573
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2659020030452637
f =  49.23866717564126 , pars =  [ 2.11742928  0.29904986  0.16780615 -0.98075135  3.50488307]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6809659829555658
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1410497510283266
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699503749433787
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.233344673487676
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.123902290789093
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2051762047737207
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.271099266334762
f =  47.83941893663035 , pars =  [ 2.11819786  0.29928374  0.16296837 -0.98030522  3.50634935]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6838828217825561
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14448196395733023
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699943912184069
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23079599276757126
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1224722280474506
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2035723306303558
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.270972349949132
f =  46.96932517686993 , pars =  [ 2.11508322  0.29830033  0.16382514 -0.98139134  3.50714224]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.683813103648971
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14395143959532208
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9700181764894636
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2300521767908891
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1233603449712055
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.204949072046392
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2725853767819153
f =  76.05961101111649 , pars =  [ 2.11669476  0.29973427  0.1632264  -0.98029004  3.50656822]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6767220928981527
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13629845582446246
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9700009437648686
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.25686749928411273
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1253952880496205
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.213002959126749
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.262068299573913
f =  52.54340068591723 , pars =  [ 2.11739271  0.29801186  0.16279189 -0.98051161  3.50672604]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6824984464629454
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14262486184113146
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9700056782791856
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2387436238999117
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1242331974958135
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2051028402461088
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2669938299170176
f =  52.179470091222 , pars =  [ 2.1169909   0.29871339  0.16324766 -0.97946937  3.5067285 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6823569441408285
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14233283680429623
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.970005757079449
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2383075632486119
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1246264427714028
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2053588881785233
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2663682661996154
f =  46.448905199943646 , pars =  [ 2.11700803  0.29859396  0.16295997 -0.98015381  3.50545732]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6846275056353155
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1447947041809967
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969967609504834
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22987809545248095
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1237031641306272
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2055964049492398
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2736380090631756
f =  73.88293697504504 , pars =  [ 2.11684148  0.29887935  0.16203476 -0.9799688   3.50548124]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6810157434550499
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14039193012080994
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699683120279136
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2598757799384173
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1268025425934947
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2078550507528318
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2563955772827888
f =  46.110236330440195 , pars =  [ 2.11701183  0.29893186  0.16337153 -0.98094301  3.50515139]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6847504900209865
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14476894530604292
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699584131192903
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22956037480479233
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1239215960120792
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.205915082907742
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2739468727859378
f =  45.80440357877679 , pars =  [ 2.11716106  0.2981604   0.16349861 -0.98147519  3.5048629 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6846498268039598
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.144702335572858
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699497421129467
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22951899922408314
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.124192437440193
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2064917317241521
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2748286985032395
f =  46.60795333714698 , pars =  [ 2.11712851  0.29807982  0.16434328 -0.98148446  3.505391  ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6837948499431257
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14381208032852166
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699656152347328
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23057184213271198
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1238333316655518
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2056456382766858
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2732779513628358
f =  47.55712415820295 , pars =  [ 2.11740195  0.29821634  0.16410406 -0.98104905  3.50423786]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6835565275072353
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1438931473334693
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699309665120414
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23138969390116157
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1227281485175402
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2039215593479762
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.271185497846207
f =  73.94081320493393 , pars =  [ 2.11640028  0.29799381  0.16366659 -0.98107897  3.50531925]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6768825483935592
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13624178714426582
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699634551281594
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.25587070740490786
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.126387534689934
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2146308432618915
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2639561504373342
f =  44.74496166771958 , pars =  [ 2.11800921  0.29836929  0.16324303 -0.98140037  3.50445536]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6857601577603547
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1453444905679133
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699374855441324
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22784847581395687
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1250704827485667
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2081120314826925
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2771756427795933
f =  47.637688040925255 , pars =  [ 2.11793962  0.29868615  0.16364105 -0.98205314  3.50501232]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6836341642983124
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14419614649424084
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699542446716626
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2310406270583175
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1225068746600657
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.203684980766163
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.271116108469094
f =  68.68996562302897 , pars =  [ 2.11795791  0.29796452  0.1628881  -0.9814398   3.5052956 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.677332410892755
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1369472550692118
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699627498452684
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2518668367124954
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1255456486110302
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2135633176932727
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2654312001313817
f =  44.67331842880402 , pars =  [ 2.11807707  0.29857021  0.16335158 -0.98043218  3.50437885]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6854248378966675
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14514882589588426
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699351870618397
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.228084261490571
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1251507764020634
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2080460205311587
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2761102257911325
f =  73.06833399449332 , pars =  [ 2.11799562  0.29891679  0.16247405 -0.98018412  3.50417477]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6805578784127985
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14028984756941182
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699290482197129
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.25959739515539887
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1272786397856012
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2086774447815063
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2573558970677299
f =  46.45522362087988 , pars =  [ 2.11797945  0.29859741  0.16382151 -0.97997403  3.50512651]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6837775467516272
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1441580450786123
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699576799513043
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2301715181686752
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1236035364346433
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2053427539275565
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2730671407206302
f =  47.377480477331744 , pars =  [ 2.11856593  0.29908573  0.16312173 -0.98030008  3.50503075]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6841467184335938
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1445720856387476
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699547925619241
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23073410871195346
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1227575371612113
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.204036458815768
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2715576112067413
f =  47.370537103894506 , pars =  [ 2.11814981  0.29835639  0.16366182 -0.98104466  3.50368775]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6840730474507506
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14432397749566458
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969914415812681
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23133744668851955
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1228408515747665
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.204178889149985
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2716761733654156
f =  47.81666237511553 , pars =  [ 2.11785806  0.29854403  0.1633907  -0.98062949  3.50477995]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.683789511421629
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14431673211598378
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699472596809303
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23126748076634238
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1224336239496535
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.203465124855994
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2707349307908977
f =  47.85600547782495 , pars =  [ 2.1180425   0.29848133  0.1632925  -0.98038278  3.50440331]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6839711872580833
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14346537430118295
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969935921081185
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23461420477904704
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1258571198729932
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2080300699272708
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2722983503715142
f =  73.38927265924079 , pars =  [ 2.11814438  0.29873043  0.16350271 -0.98034257  3.504341  ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.676633991226039
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13630243450538562
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.96993405853683
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.25468472919868773
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1250016433855126
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2123138054450506
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2627023500893688
f =  69.87610537581023 , pars =  [ 2.11813181  0.2985233   0.16339403 -0.98046123  3.50442529]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6770316289232875
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13662307281340394
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699365933935691
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.25239901058107694
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1252853580097646
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2130409350525155
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2648136488192836
f =  48.935538140119185 , pars =  [ 2.11800179  0.29861078  0.16331039 -0.98045504  3.50435724]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6831023137863402
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1431472832295176
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699345532827349
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23560986805705153
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1251742444380957
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2068551394749345
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.270684022296471
f =  74.29114965189642 , pars =  [ 2.11812149  0.29861618  0.16329963 -0.98042958  3.50443549]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6768443365494978
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13653456499174765
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699368954951361
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2562919808908167
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.125777677765015
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2137298661816769
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2629413849535955
f =  46.0647937135662 , pars =  [ 2.11809399  0.29855352  0.16334184 -0.98039135  3.50429125]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6844334091359342
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1446979155751245
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699325687332874
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22980415964961484
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1238038234542207
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2057352101517043
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2737287654838285
f =  50.54312804721647 , pars =  [ 2.11808772  0.29854682  0.16331508 -0.98052137  3.5043717 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6827598253334651
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14279843766325503
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699349855906468
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23789838390533638
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1254137909514033
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2070138684393341
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2694761130177497
f =  44.75646520731517 , pars =  [ 2.11800509  0.2985458   0.16341498 -0.98041793  3.50437827]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6854141604673346
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14512711278032117
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699351712903496
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.22810560897220775
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.124971284202614
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2079197898364542
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2768480083495075
f =  47.64293194437317 , pars =  [ 2.11806962  0.29857787  0.16338819 -0.98037406  3.50445074]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6839858993722336
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1443642720806738
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699373655834845
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23136887030695932
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1226876402734633
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2039078324181582
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2713267249623155
f =  47.51258754422583 , pars =  [ 2.11799666  0.2985662   0.16337824 -0.98044182  3.50443095]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6839213613639106
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14438697546663834
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699367715571526
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23110344797740642
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1226485251705072
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2038241040811968
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2711952363366275
f =  46.71934533822382 , pars =  [ 2.11810266  0.29864331  0.16341239 -0.98042437  3.50436323]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6841358889437049
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14453479641684006
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969934730846725
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2302910338693452
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1230980762170244
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.204753142276213
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2726183775691235
f =  51.75157784954816 , pars =  [ 2.11804885  0.29857286  0.16337553 -0.98033943  3.50438332]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6825850310492213
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14257236062965944
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699353323014376
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23885745797409938
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1248613448378575
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.2059260974464632
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.267876803825006
estimation did converge, now computing standard errors...
          $\sigma$    $\phi$ $\alpha_0$
estimate  2.118077   0.29857   0.163352
se        0.003116  0.009669   0.019682
             value   free        se
name                               
sigma     2.118077   True  0.003116
beta      0.970000  False       NaN
phi       0.298570   True  0.009669
psi       0.163352   True  0.019682
delta_h1 -0.980432   True  0.024784
delta_h2  3.505379   True  0.039848
eta       0.000000  False       NaN
tfp       1.000000  False       NaN
price     1.000000  False       NaN
risk      0.000000  False       NaN
